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An excerpt from
Destination Z, The History of the Future
by Robert Baldock

Chapter 1
The Walls Come Tumbling Down
Before we polish our crystal balls and take a look into the future we need to have a sound understanding of the present. What are the things that are happening now that are going to be the most powerful influences in shaping that future?

I believe that the most significant change taking place today is the dismantling of the walls that have traditionally separated businesses from each other. There was a time when car companies made cars and banks sold financial services, and each did little else.

When the Saatchi brothers attempted to take over Midland Bank in 1987, they were one of the first to suggest that running a bank might be much like running any other service industry.

At the time, bank regulators were horrified by the idea, and the deal failed to get the go-ahead. But since then the business world has changed to such an extent that car companies do now sell financial services, and none of us think it strange.

Companies such as Virgin have proved that it is possible to embrace almost any line of business. There is Virgin Cola, and there is the very visible Virgin airline.





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There are Virgin financial products, Virgin records, Virgin cinemas, and more. One of the few where the assets are owned and run by the Virgin organisation in a traditional way is the airline. For many, Virgin is just a marketing and sales organisation that fronts a business run by others.

More and more industries are following this path, seeing the Virgin structure as a model for the future. Every company now has the opportunity to go into any business that it fancies. The graffiti on the Berlin Wall today applies to every industry: ‘Auf die Dauer Fallt die Mauer’, ‘With time the wall will fall’. The wall between your industry and any other that you care to name may collapse tomorrow, with unforeseeable implications.

What, for instance, will be the implications for the water industry now that power companies have decided that running one utility is much like running another? Which utility ‘brand’ is going to come to the fore? And how long will it be before we have Virgin Water and Virgin Power?

Behind the fall of industry’s walls lie a number of more detailed trends among firms that I see as being particularly significant. In the rest of this chapter I look at my ‘Top Ten’, the ten shifts currently taking place in corporate behaviour that I believe provide the most telling pointers to the future.

These ‘top ten’ shifts are:


1.The broadening of the range of products and services on offer.
2.The creation of new value propositions.
3.The virtualisation of organisations.
4.The way that companies are getting closer to their customers.
5.The addition of demergers to traditional mergers and acquisitions (M&A).
6.The formation of strategic alliances.
7.The growth of outsourcing.
8.Expanding globalisation.
9.The rapid entry of newcomers into old markets.
10.Customisation.